Black boxes of crashed Ethiopia plane arrive in France for analysis

The analysis should provide answers to why the Boeing 737 MAX 8 aircraft hurtled into the ground minutes after take off last week.

Men unload a case containing the black boxes from the crashed Ethiopian Airlines Boeing 737 MAX 8 outside the headquarters of France's BEA air accident investigation agency in Le Bourget, north of Paris, France, on March 14, 2019.
Reuters

Men unload a case containing the black boxes from the crashed Ethiopian Airlines Boeing 737 MAX 8 outside the headquarters of France's BEA air accident investigation agency in Le Bourget, north of Paris, France, on March 14, 2019.

The flight data and cockpit voice recorders recovered from the Ethiopian Airlines plane that crashed on the weekend were on Thursday handed over to France's BEA air accident investigation agency for analysis.

The black boxes' data should provide answers to why the Boeing 737 MAX 8 aircraft hurtled into the ground minutes after take off. 

A spokesman for the BEA agency earlier said he did not know what condition the recorders were in.

Boeing suspends entire global fleet of 737 MAX

Boeing on Thursday confirmed it will suspend operations of its entire fleet of 737 MAX aircraft.

In a statement posted on Twitter, the US company said after consultation with the Federal Aviation Authority, National Transport Safety Board and its customers, it supports action to temporarily ground its 737 MAX fleet.

The manufacturer is going through one of the most serious crises in its history because of two crashes involving one version: the 737 MAX 8.

A growing number of airlines and countries have already banned or grounded the plane after Sunday's deadly crash of an Ethiopian Airlines flight killed 157 people, which came after a fatal accident in October of a Lion Air MAX 8 that claimed 189 lives.

What is 737 MAX?

The 737 MAX, which debuted in May 2017, is Boeing's response to the Airbus A320 NEO, which allowed the European manufacturer to surpass Boeing in the medium-haul market.

It has four variants – MAX 7, 8, 9 and 10 – distinguished by the number of passengers they can carry.

The MAX 8 costs $121.6 million at list price and last year made up a third of Boeing's profits.

By the end of January, 4,661 of the planes had been ordered, representing approximately 80 percent of the company's orders.

The manufacturer produces 52 of the planes each month, and planned to increase that monthly pace to 57 this year, key to the goal of delivering 895 to 905 aircraft this year, which would be a record.

The model "is perhaps the most important programme for Boeing and its suppliers," Canaccord analyst Ken Herbert said.

What changed after the crash?

The Ethiopia Airlines accident has led to the grounding of the majority of the 350 MAX 8s in service, with some countries even banning the plane from their airspace, regardless of where the flight originated.

The United States continues to allow the plane to fly, but regulators have asked Boeing to modify the flight controls, including the stall prevention system called "MCAS."

AP

In this photo taken Monday, March 11, 2019, a Boeing 737 MAX 8 airplane being built for TUI Group sits parked in the background at right at Boeing Co's Renton Assembly Plant in Renton, Washington.

What about orders?

For the moment, no airlines have officially cancelled any orders for the MAX, but press reports indicate Lion Air is looking to replace its MAX 8 with Airbus.

"All Boeing can do now is devote all its resources to cooperating with the investigators, and ... continue to work with customers on any outstanding issues related to MAX performance," said Richard Aboulafia of the Teal Group.

What is the financial impact?

Boeing shares lost more than 11 percent since the accident, causing nearly $27 billion of market capitalisation to go up in smoke. It is difficult to estimate the financial impact, but the analysts are looking at different scenarios.

If the Ethiopian Airlines and Lion Air accidents were found to have the same cause, the economic consequences would be minimal since Boeing would just have to roll out the updates to the flight control software and the flight manual already underway.

That would amount to less than $1 billion because the cost of the changes would be about $2 million per device, Canaccord analyst Herbert estimates.

Boeing is aiming for a cash flow of about $15 billion this year.

But if investigators find a different cause, Aboulafia said the cost would be much greater, since it is likely to oblige the aircraft to be grounded for an extended period, and would involve repairs and major compensation, forcing airlines to find alternative aircraft to fly their routes.

That scenario also would undermine Boeing's goal of producing 57 aircraft a month by June.

AFP

Rescue team collect bodies in bags at the crash site of Ethiopia Airlines near Bishoftu, a town some 60 kilometres southeast of Addis Ababa, Ethiopia, on March 10, 2019.

What about Boeing's reputation?

This crisis tarnishes the image of Boeing, which celebrated its centenary in 2016, as the accidents raise doubts in the general public about the safety of its planes, Herbert said.

The company, which also manufactures fighter jets, tankers, aerospace equipment and Air Force One, the plane that carries the president of the United States, is an American industrial flagship.

What happens to suppliers?

In addition to Boeing and its 150,000 employees, many direct and indirect suppliers to the 737 MAX are likely to be affected by the crisis, especially if orders are cancelled.

They include General Electric and Safran, whose joint venture CFM manufactures the LEAP engine on the aircraft, US companies United Technologies (sensors) and Spirit AeroSystems (fuselage, cockpit).

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