The author is a research fellow at the S. Rajaratnam School of International Studies (RSIS), Singapore.
The existing terrorist threat is likely to evolve in a far different way from the one witnessed after the 9/11 attacks.
The Taliban doesn't have the capacity or capabilities to retain the territories it captures. However, Afghanistan could be headed towards a military impasse that will either force the parties to find a political solution or drag it to a civil war.
Only a negotiated extension of the withdrawal timeframe with the Taliban and an expedited peace process inclusive of regional countries can help the US achieve a settlement.
Any settlement the Taliban achieves in Afghanistan will have a ripple effect on 'jihadist' groups everywhere.
As the Taliban regains influence in Afghanistan it will look to shake its tag as a proxy force.
The group has modified its aims to try and pose a new challenge to the Pakistani state which has so far succeeded in pushing it underground.
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