Giorgio Cafiero is the CEO of Gulf State Analytics (@GulfStateAnalyt), a Washington, DC-based geopolitical risk consultancy.
Saudi Arabia has lifted its blockade of Qatar after a three and a half year stalemate. So what triggered a change of heart?
Even if the US pressures Riyadh into easing its stance against Doha, it's naive to assume that Saudi-Qatari relations would return to their pre-blockade status.
The separatist non-state actor operates under Emirati patronage and could find itself pressured into warming up to Israel.
The impending massive sale to the UAE could change the balance of power in the Gulf forcing an arms race.
The UAE places 'authoritarian stability' in the region at the top of its list of priorities.
Will Kuwait's shrewd diplomacy change course under its new monarch?
The UAE is well-positioned to pressure Mauritania into unfreezing its relations with Israel.
Qatar's ability to advance its interests in Libya will be tied to Turkey's success.
The UAE-led Gulf states are essential to Bashar al Assad's plan to re-integrate himself into polite company.
If Qatar steps in with a heavy aid effort in Lebanon, the conspiracy theory machines are bound to go into overdrive.
Trump’s incoherent foreign policy doctrine has some GCC states questioning US commitment to their regime security, while Biden could usher in a reset of US-Gulf relations.
A major environmental, humanitarian and economic disaster lies in wait in the Red Sea - and there's only a tiny window of opportunity to prevent it.
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