Giorgio Cafiero is the CEO of Gulf State Analytics (@GulfStateAnalyt), a Washington, DC-based geopolitical risk consultancy.
For centuries, the Swiss assessment was that their neutrality enhanced their country’s security. Now, they are unsure about that principle in light of the Ukraine conflict.
Failure to revive the JCPOA could trigger turmoil in the Middle East where warring nations and suspicious neighbours are always breathing down each other’s neck.
Concerns about the region becoming increasingly unstable and fractured are real and legitimate.
The dangers posed by the terror group should be worrying for countries in Afghanistan’s neighbourhood and beyond.
Rome’s stance on the Syrian regime has diverged from its Western counterparts, but rapprochement is unlikely to happen soon.
While Doha maintains its traditional balancing foreign policy, Moscow's attack has given it an opportunity to flex its soft-power muscles.
Tehran finds itself in a geopolitical, economic, and diplomatic bind.
The Gulf nation could help extend Washington’s “diplomatic reach” as it continues its strategic shift away from the Middle East.
The Israeli president’s recent trip to the UAE served to send a message not only to the Emiratis, but also the wider Arab-Islamic world.
The attacks on major cities in the Gulf mark a dangerous escalation that could see the spillover beyond Yemen and parts of Saudi Arabia.
Iran has a high stake in Taliban-ruled Afghanistan, and Tehran is determined to carefully engage the new rulers in Kabul.
Tehran is wary of destabilisation in Central Asia, which could pose a threat to its economic and national security.
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