Giorgio Cafiero is the CEO of Gulf State Analytics (@GulfStateAnalyt), a Washington, DC-based geopolitical risk consultancy.
It's clear that Israel does not want the Iran nuclear deal to be salvaged, but provocations may speed up re-negotiation.
There are still more questions than answers about what happened in Jordan, but the crisis will allow the US to recalibrate its friendship with the Hashemite Kingdom.
Saudi Arabia and Egypt have made a genuine attempt at reconciliation while the UAE and Bahrain are still dragging their feet.
Saudi Arabia enjoyed a widespread bout of solidarity after the Khashoggi report, but as US-Saudi tensions grow, GCC states may find themselves in a perpetual balancing act.
The Houthis’ push to usurp the city in northern Yemen from the Hadi government risks jeopardising any chance of diplomatically resolving the country’s civil war.
The removal of Anwar Gargash, who has long been the face of Emirati foreign policy, is part of a larger push to consolidate power within a tighter circle.
Forces like the UAE, Saudi Arabia and Egypt that have destabilised the UN-backed government in Libya may be shifting their approach.
In the era of the Abraham Accords, why is Algeria articulating fiercely pro-Palestinian positions?
President-elect Joe Biden won't walk away from the UAE, but there are a number of issues that will seriously test the relationship.
Saudi Arabia has lifted its blockade of Qatar after a three and a half year stalemate. So what triggered a change of heart?
Even if the US pressures Riyadh into easing its stance against Doha, it's naive to assume that Saudi-Qatari relations would return to their pre-blockade status.
The separatist non-state actor operates under Emirati patronage and could find itself pressured into warming up to Israel.
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