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Giorgio Cafiero
Giorgio Cafiero is the CEO of Gulf State Analytics (@GulfStateAnalyt), a Washington, DC-based geopolitical risk consultancy.
Giorgio Cafiero is the CEO of Gulf State Analytics (@GulfStateAnalyt), a Washington, DC-based geopolitical risk consultancy.
Articles from author
What’s the future of Hezbollah in Lebanon?
From the pager and walkie-talkie attacks to the killing of Nasrallah and Safieddine, events of last year were beyond humiliating for Hezbollah and its supporters in Lebanon and elsewhere.
9 MIN READ
Trump’s Greenland push puts Nordic unity under the spotlight
The US President’s threat to take over the Arctic island could lead to a geopolitical realignment among the Nordic countries and with other Western powers.
10 MIN READ
How Trump's Greenland ambitions could test NATO unity
The incoming US president's rhetoric about using military force to annex the island has unsettled European leaders, particularly NATO allies, who fear it could strain transatlantic relations.
13 MIN READ
A new axis: Syria and Ukraine unite after Assad's fall
The two countries share a goal of weakening Russia, and considering a partnership that spans diplomacy, military, and trade.
10 MIN READ
Amid regional setbacks, how Iran and Saudi Arabia kept the peace in 2024
Driven by self interest and external factors, the two nations maintained their detente this year - despite fluid situations in Gaza and Syria.
14 MIN READ
As Syria plans its next chapter, UNSCR 2254 provides a framework for peace
The 2015 resolution provides guidance on establishing an inclusive government and constitution. Experts say it's a good starting point, but needs updates to reflect the country's new political reality.
8 MIN READ
Ukraine War Phase 2: Biden’s last-ditch push to redraw frontlines
Will Trump’s return see escalating tensions or regional peace in a war that has so far claimed thousands of lives on both sides?
10 MIN READ
Trump's push for a swift peace in Ukraine faces complex challenges
Despite being on friendlier terms with Moscow, the US president-elect will have to strike a difficult balancing act to actually end the war, analysts say.
9 MIN READ
As Trump and Harris face off, Ukraine sees its survival on the ballot
The outcome of next week’s US election has Ukrainians bracing for a starkly different future, depending on the next occupant of the White House.
9 MIN READ
What's holding Saudi Arabia back from joining BRICS+?
Membership to the bloc could benefit all involved, but the kingdom is concerned about how this would impact its relationship with one key ally.
10 MIN READ
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