Romania's Iohannis wins presidential ballot, will face runoff – exit polls

Romania's incumbent President Klaus Iohannis won the first round of a presidential election on Sunday and is likely to face opposition Social Democrat leader and former Prime Minister Viorica Dancila in a November 24 runoff, exit polls showed.

An exit poll conducted by IRES pollster showed Iohannis garnered 38.7 percent of votes followed by Dancila with 22 percent. Save Romania Union head Dan Barna got 16.1 percent. 

Another poll by Curs-Avangarde ranked Iohannis first with 39 percent and Dancila with 22.5 percent.

Data by the electoral bureau, which is expected to unveil partial official results from Monday morning, showed a robust turnout of 48 percent with a record high diaspora voter presence of 660,000 – which was not taken into account by the exit polls.

Iohannis' win potentially adds to a liberal fightback against the region's prevailing nationalism.

Iohannis of the centre-right National Liberal Party [PNL] repeatedly clashed with the beleaguered government of the left-wing Social Democrat [PSD] party, which collapsed last month.

His main rival in the presidential vote, the PSD's Dancila, served as prime minister for the government which took power in 2016.

The PSD's government had engaged in a long battle with Brussels –– and Iohannis –– over allegations it was trying to push through controversial judicial reforms in order to neuter the judiciary and benefit PSD politicians.

"Today Romanians are deciding on the future of their country," Iohannis, 60, told reporters as he cast his ballot at a school in the capital Bucharest.

After casting her own ballot, Dancila told supporters she voted "for a safe and dignified Romania".

He has made rule of law a central plank of his campaign which has mirrored that of Slovakian anti-corruption activist Zuzana Caputova, who won the presidential election in that country in March.

In Hungary too, the nationalist government of Prime Minister Viktor Orban suffered a rare setback last month when centre-left candidate Gergely Karacsony united the opposition to wrest the mayoralty of the capital Budapest from Orban's Fidesz party.

'Pro-European signal'

While nationalism has been less present in Romanian politics than in Hungary or Poland, the PSD had tried to frame its clashes with EU institutions as evidence that the party was standing up for Romania.

However, as the German magazine Osteuropa pointed out in a recent editorial, at May's European elections "while Fidesz and (Poland's ruling) PiS party won on the back of anti-Brussels campaigns, Romanian voters punished the government and sent a pro-European signal".

The heavy losses in the European polls added to a series of travails for Dancila's government which eventually saw it brought down by parliament in a no-confidence vote last month.

"It's taken 30 years for us to get the chance to choose between candidates who haven't all emerged from the Communist party," Bucharest voter Bradut Bumbas told AFP.

Respected 103-year-old philosopher Mihai Sora, who has a large social media following, warned online that "we are not just electing a man, we are electing our future".

He has become the spokesman for tens of thousands of protesters who have regularly taken to the streets against the drift to the left and in favour of an independent judiciary.

Sociologist Vasile Dancu said the PSD would be "seeking a new identity after three years in power".

Earlier this week MPs gave their backing to a government led by the PNL's Ludovic Orban.

Iohannis, a member of the country's ethnic German minority, was first elected in 2014 and is widely expected to win a second five-year term in the run-off vote on November 24.

The former physics teacher and mayor of the city of Sibiu has warned that a PSD win would pose a threat to democracy.

The left-wing party is seen as the successor of the elite which dominated the country before the overthrow of communism in 1989 and is accused of harbouring corruption in its ranks.

Record diaspora turnout 

Some four million Romanians have moved abroad in recent years and the diaspora, which predominantly votes for liberal candidates, could play a key role in the election.

Voting opened at many locations abroad on Friday and by Sunday morning more than 300,000 diaspora Romanians had already voted, a record for the first round of a presidential election.

The election could mark the end of an era. For the first time since the return to multi-party democracy the PSD –– increasingly reliant on ageing, rural voter base –– can't be sure of making it through to the second round.

Polls indicate Dancila will face a tough fight for second place with 44-year-old Dan Barna standing for the recently formed pro-European Save Romania Union (USR) party.

In total 14 candidates are standing in the country of 19.7 million people.

Polling stations opened at 7:00 am (0500 GMT) and will close at 9:00 pm (1900 GMT), with two exit polls results expected shortly afterwards.